Spatio-temporal dynamics of visceral leishmaniasis transmission in a highly endemic region of Brazil

Autores

  • Caíque Jordan Nunes Ribeiro Federal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Nursing. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • Bianca Vanessa dos Santos Ribeiro Federal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Parasite Biology. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • Allan Dantas dos Santos Federal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Nursing. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • Márcio Bezerra Santos Federal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Health Science. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • Priscila Lima dos Santos ederal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Health Science. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • Karina Conceição Gomes Machado de Araújo ederal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Health Science. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • Guilherme Reis de Santana Santos Federal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Nursing. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • David Vinicius dos Santos Santana Federal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Nursing. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil
  • Liliane Moretti Carneiro Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul, Graduate Program in Health and Development in the Central-West Region. Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil
  • Tatiana Rodrigues de Moura Federal University of Sergipe, Graduate Program in Health Science. São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26694/repis.v10i1.5747

Palavras-chave:

Geographic information system, Spatial analysis, Time series studies, Visceral leishmaniasis

Resumo

Introduction: Brazil concentrates 96% of visceral leishmaniasis cases occurred in Americas, and Maranhão is the Brazilian state with the highest number of registered cases. Aim: to analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics of visceral leishmaniasis transmission in a Brazilian region with high endemicity between 2009 to 2017. Design: We carried out an ecological and time series study using spatio-temporal analysis techniques. A time-trend analysis was performed by the segmented linear regression. High-risk clusters were identified through spatial autocorrelation (Moran’s global and local indexes) and space-time scan statistics. Results: There were 5,128 visceral leishmaniasis cases, and it was observed increasing trends of new cases in the general population, among men, adults ≥20 years old, especially ≥60 years old. VL-HIV coinfection, mortality and lethality were crescent. Spatial analysis revealed intense visceral leishmaniasis transmission in almost the entire state and high-risk priority areas. Implications: Visceral leishmaniasis is in a substantial geographical expansion, demonstrating that the surveillance policies need to be reformulated.

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Publicado

2024-06-18

Como Citar

Nunes Ribeiro, C. J., Ribeiro, B. V. dos S. ., Santos, A. D. dos ., Santos, M. B. ., Santos, P. L. dos ., Araújo, K. C. G. M. de ., … Moura, T. R. de. (2024). Spatio-temporal dynamics of visceral leishmaniasis transmission in a highly endemic region of Brazil. Revista Prevenção De Infecção E Saúde, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.26694/repis.v10i1.5747

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